Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

High food and energy prices continue to squeeze households globally. Aggressive monetary policy responses and shrinking real incomes have increased global recession risks. Indeed, more and more signs of recession are piling up.

Our Currency Strategists set out what the geopolitical and macro-economic landscape means for major and emerging markets in the third quarter

Our Currency Strategy experts offer their predictions for currency performances for both Major and Emerging Markets.

For much of the first half of this year, high interest rates and rising commodity prices helped these currencies outperform their emerging market peers. However, broad-based dollar strength has slowly but surely eaten away at those EM FX gains and this is likely to continue as the Fed remains on its aggressive tightening path.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Fed speakers continue spreading the hawkish message; PPI data also came in on the soft side; preliminary August University of Michigan consumer sentiment will be today’s data highlight; monthly U.K. data dump began; eurozone June IP was reported; Sweden reported July CPI; Taiwan revised Q2 GDP growth slightly lower; India reports July CPI and June IP

Markets are still digesting yesterday’s CPI data; July PPI will be reported today; Fed tightening expectations continue to adjust; Fed speakers continue spreading a very hawkish message; the heavy slate of Treasury issuance this week concludes; Mexico is expected to hike rates 75 bp to 8.50%; Peru is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 6.50%; German Chancellor Scholz promised more relief for its citizens; PBOC has pivoted and further easing now seems unlikely

Fed speakers will continue spreading the hawkish message; July CPI will be the highlight; the heavy slate of Treasury issuance this week continues; U.K. energy outlook continues to deteriorate; despite the gloomy macro outlook, the BOE is set to continue tightening as inflation spirals ever higher; Norway reported July CPI; Japan reported July PPI; China reported July CPI and PPI; Thailand hiked rates 25 bp to 0.75%, as expected

The lack of follow-through for the dollar is disappointing; the next big Fed event will be its Jackson Hole Economic Symposium; Fed tightening expectations still need to adjust; Mexico reports July CPI; Brazil central bank minutes will be released; BOE Deputy Governor Ramsden said interest rates will have to rise further to help limit inflation; Hungary reported July CPI; Japan reported July machine tool orders

Markets are still digesting last week’s blockbuster jobs report; Fed tightening expectations continue to adjust; higher U.S. yields continue to support the dollar; U.K. households are facing even greater energy bills; despite the gloomy outlook, the BOE is set to continue tightening as inflation spirals ever higher; Czech central bank Governor Michl signaled the end of the tightening cycle, at least for now; Japan reported June current account data; China reported July trade and foreign reserves data

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Fed officials continued their communication push; Fed tightening expectations should move higher; the July jobs report is the main event; Canada also reports July jobs data; several eurozone countries reported June IP; BOE hiked rates 50 bp to 1.75%, as expected; updated forecasts were grim; Czech Republic delivered a dovish surprise and kept rates steady at 7.0%; Japan reported firm June labor cash earnings and household spending; RBA released its Statement on Monetary Policy; India hiked rates 50 bp to 5.40% vs. 35 bp expected

Fed officials continue to push back against the perceived pivot; U.S. yields have surged as a result; ISM reported firm services PMI readings for July; Brazil hiked rates 50 bp to 13.75%, as expected; Germany reported weak June factory orders; ECB tightening expectations remain depressed; BOE is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 1.75%; Czech Republic is expected to hike rates 25 bp to 7.25%; Australia reported firm June trade data

As we expected, Fed officials are pushing back hard against the pivot theme; ISM July services PMI reading is the main event; Brazil is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 13.75%; data suggest the ECB has already activated its first line of defense against fragmentation; final eurozone and U.K. services and composite PMIs were reported; Turkey reported July CPI; Japan reported weak final July services and composite PMIs; New Zealand reported mixed Q2 jobs data; Caixin reported final China July services and composite PMI

We think Fed officials will push back against the market’s dovish take on its decision; the U.S. rates market continues to price in gloom and doom; ISM reports July manufacturing PMI; eurozone final July manufacturing PMI readings were reported; Germany continues to weaken; Caixin reported soft China July manufacturing PMI; Hong Kong reported weak Q2 GDP data

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

We got our first look at Q2 GDP and it wasn’t pretty; the GDP data means absolutely nothing with regards to Fed policy; June core PCE data will be important; July Chicago PMI will also be closely watched; July eurozone CPI readings came in very hot; Q2 eurozone GDP data came in stronger than expected; July Tokyo CPI was reported; BOJ board members remain worried about downside risks; given the long-standing monetary policy divergence, we can only explain the recent yen strength as a positioning washout; China reports official July PMI readings Saturday local time

The two-day FOMC ended with a 75 bp hike to 2.50%; market expectations for Fed tightening are diverging; Powell was suitably hawkish during his press conference; and reiterated the Fed’s laser focus on inflation; we get our first look at Q2 GDP; it looks like some fiscal stimulus is coming in the U.S. after all; eurozone confidence continues to plunge in July; ECB officials are starting to acknowledge recession risks; July eurozone CPI readings will start to roll out; BOJ Deputy Governor Amamiya sees wage gains picking up next year; Australia reported soft June retail sales

The Fed is widely expected to hike rates 75 bp to 2.50%; the press conference will be key; we think markets are setting themselves up for disappointment; the U.S. rates market continues to price in doom and gloom ahead of the FOMC decision; reports suggest Russia is likely to continue limiting natural gas shipments to Europe; markets are still repricing ECB tightening; German GfK consumer confidence was reported for August; the U.K. race for Tory leadership is sharpening up; Australia reported mixed Q2 CPI data

The two-day FOMC starts today and the Fed is widely expected to hike rates 75 bp to 2.50%; June Chicago Fed NAI is concerning; Brazil reports mid-July IPCA inflation; Russia announced plans to cut gas flow through the Nord Stream pipeline; the eurozone was already weakening and now the threat of gas shortages has risen dramatically; Hungary is expected to hike the base rate 100 bp to 10.75%; Japan’s Cabinet Office raised its monthly economic assessment in for the first time in three months; the RBNZ is reviewing its monetary policy response to the pandemic

U.S. rates are inching higher but continue to price in doom and gloom ahead of the FOMC meeting that begins tomorrow; June Chicago Fed NAI will be watched closely for further signs of recession; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for July will continue rolling out; ECB officials continue to send mixed messages; Germany remains the weak link in the eurozone; U.K. CBI released the results of its July industrial trends survey; new BOJ board member Takata said the economy still needs policy support; Singapore reported June CPI

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

The U.S. rates market continues to price in doom and gloom; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for July have been mixed; Mexico reports mid-July CPI; the ECB delivered a hawkish surprise; it also announced the creation of the so-called Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI); market sentiment waned as Madame Lagarde conducted her press conference; Italian political uncertainty has risen; preliminary eurozone July PMI readings came in weak; U.K. data came in slightly firmer than expected; Russia delivered a dovish surprise; South Africa delivered a hawkish surprise; Japan reported June national CPI data; Japan and Australia reported weak preliminary July PMI readings

It’s all about the ECB today; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for July will continuing rolling out; the ECB is widely expected to hike rates 25 bp; Italian politics have entered a dangerous new phase; the U.K. political outlook has gotten some clarity but the next Tory leader will inherit a terrible situation; South Africa is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 5.25%; Turkey kept rates steady at 14.0%, as expected; the two-day BOJ meeting ended with a dovish hold; Indonesia kept rates steady at 3.5%, as expected

The slope of the U.S. yield curve is getting more concerning; Canada highlight will be June CPI data; reports suggest the ECB may consider a 50 bp hike tomorrow; other reports suggest the ECB is struggling to reach a compromise on its new anti-crisis tool; we see four possible outcomes tomorrow; Italian politics remain in flux ahead of a planned confidence vote today; the U.K. political outlook continues to solidify; the two-day BOJ meeting began today

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. yields remain depressed on recession fears; the U.S. yield curve is flattening but nowhere near inverting; ISM manufacturing PMI will be today’s data highlight; June eurozone CPI came in hot; yet ECB tightening expectations have softened; Japan reported June Tokyo CPI; Q2 Tankan survey was mixed; the Antipodean currencies remain under pressure; Caixin reported its June manufacturing PMI

Fed Chair Powell made some rare comments about the dollar; Chicago PMI will be today’s highlight; May core PCE will be closely watched; Colombia is expected to hike rates 150 bp to 7.5%; BOE Governor Bailey did sterling no favors; the Riksbank hiked rates 50 bp to 0.75%, as expected; Japan reported weak May IP and housing starts data; China reported strong official June PMI readings

Fed officials remains hawkish; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for June were uniformly weak; reports suggest the internal debate about the ECB crisis tool continues; June eurozone CPI readings take center stage; Hungary delivered a hawkish surprise; Japan reported May retail sales and June consumer confidence; Australia reported strong May retail sales

Fed tightening expectations have steadied but remain off the recent highs; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for June will wrap up; ECB President Lagarde affirmed plans to hike rates July 20; Brexit tensions are picking up; Hungary is expected to hike the base rate 50 bp to 6.40%; China cut the required quarantine times for international arrivals; PBOC Governor Yi pledged to maintain stimulus

Fed tightening expectations have steadied but remain off the recent highs; most ECB speakers this week are centered around the ECB forum that begins tonight in Sintra; while the ECB has a single mandate of price stability, it has an unofficial second mandate of fighting so-called fragmentation; Brexit remains in the headlines; the summary of discussions from the June 16-17 BOJ meeting suggests there is no rush to remove accommodation

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. yields remain low as recession fears rise; the U.S. yield curve is flattening but nowhere near inverting; Fed Chair Powell broke no new ground in his testimony before the House; Mexico hiked rates 75 bp to 7.75%, as expected; June German IFO business climate came in soft; U.K. reported soft May retail sales; U.K. politics are heating up; Japan reported May national CPI readings

Fed Chair Powell finally acknowledged recession risks are building; Fed expectations are pretty much unchanged after Powell; yet U.S. yields are falling again as risk-off impulses build; Mexico is expected to hike rates 75 bp to 7.75%; eurozone reported weak preliminary June PMI readings; ECB tightening expectations have eased; Norway hiked rates 50 bp to 1.25%; Turkey kept rates steady at 14.0%, as expected; former head of FX policy at Japan’s Finance Ministry Takehiko Nakao said markets shouldn’t rule out unilateral intervention

The recovery in U.S. yields has been halted by the return of risk-off impulses; Fed tightening expectations have fallen a bit; Powell delivers his semi-annual testimony before the Senate; Canada reports May CPI data; the ECB seems to be following a policy of strategic ambiguity regarding its planned crisis tool; Italy is back in the headlines due to rising political risks; U.K. reported May CPI data; South Africa reported May CPI; Czech National Bank is expected to hike rates 100 bp to 6.75%; the BOJ minutes are worth discussing;

With recession fears rising, May Chicago Fed NAI takes center stage; housing data will remain in focus as weakness in that sector persists; Canada reports April retail sales; Brazil COPOM minutes will be released; ECB President Lagarde affirmed liftoff next month; Chief Economist Pill said the BOE is prepared to sacrifice growth in order to bring down inflation; RBA released the findings of its review of YCC; Korea reported trade data for the first 20 days of June

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. yields are stabilizing; Fed tightening expectations remain elevated; the euro has recovered on reports that the ECB anti-crisis tool is starting to take shape; BOE Chief Economist Pill identified some triggers that would require more forceful action; BOJ kept all policy settings unchanged, as expected; stresses in the JGB market are rising

The Fed hiked rates 75 bp, as expected; Fed tightening expectations have picked up significantly; U.S. yields have recovered; BOE hiked rates 25 bp to 1.25%, as expected; the ECB emergency meeting yielded nothing but disappointment; SNB surprised markets with a 50 bp hike to -0.25% and signaled a shift in its FX intervention policy; BOJ began its two-day meeting today and is expected to keep all policy settings unchanged when it ends tomorrow

The two-day FOMC ends today with a rate hike; new macro forecasts and Dot Plots will be released; we also note that QT announced at the May 3-4 FOMC meeting starts today; May retail sales will be reported ahead of the FOMC decision; Brazil COPOM is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 13.25%; the euro is higher after the ECB announced an emergency meeting today in response to growing concerns about fragmentation; we are shocked that the ECB wasn’t better prepared for the fallout

U.S. yields continue to rise; the rise in short-end U.S. yields reflects significantly higher Fed tightening expectations; portions of the U.S. yield curve have inverted again; monthly U.K. data dump started out very weak; Brexit remains in the headlines; we think the rising risks of fragmentation are a major factor behind subsequent euro weakness; BOJ bought JGBs to defend its Yield Curve Control target; China is reimposing some COVID restrictions as virus numbers rise

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. yields continue to rise; the rise in short-end U.S. yields reflects heightened Fed tightening expectations; May CPI data will be the main event; Canada highlight will be May jobs data; ECB kept rates steady but flagged a 25 bp hike in July; ECB tightening expectations have picked up; ECB simply did not seem overly concerned about the risks of rising peripheral yields; Brexit appears to be coming to a head once again; Japan officials have renewed their warnings about the weak yen

Rates are moving in favor of the dollar; the rise in short-end U.S. yields reflects heightened Fed tightening expectations; the ECB is widely expected to keep rates steady whilst setting the table for July liftoff; the ECB could announce some details of a new emergency bond-buying program; Japan reported solid May machine tool orders; the RBNZ laid out details for planned QT; China reported firm May trade data

U.S. yields are moving higher; consumer credit continues to surge; reports suggest Michael Barr’s confirmation as Fed Vice Chair for supervision will be smooth sailing; reports suggest the U.K. is pressing ahead with plans to unilaterally rewrite parts of the Brexit accord; ECB tightening expectations have picked up ahead of tomorrow’s decision; Germany reported weak April IP; Japan reported final Q1 GDP data; India hiked rates 50 bp to 4.90%, as expected; Thailand delivered a hawkish hold

U.S. yields are moving higher; Chile is expected to hike rates from 8.25% currently; U.K. Prime Minister Johnson survived the no confidence vote; reports suggest ECB policymakers remain very concerned about peripheral spreads; Germany reported very weak data; Turkey President Erdogan is showing no inclination to let the central bank hike rates; Japan reported weak April household spending and cash earnings data; RBA delivered a hawkish surprise with a 50 bp hike to 0.85% vs. 25 bp expected

Data last week confirmed our view that concerns about a U.S. recession are overdone; U.S. yields are moving higher as a result; the Fed is likely to remain on its aggressive tightening path; U.K. Prime Minister Johnson will face a no confidence vote tonight; reports suggest the ECB will firm up plans for a new bond-buying program this week; the BOJ shows no signs of pivoting from its current ultra-loose policies

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Markets are marking time ahead of the U.S. jobs data; Fed Vice Chair Brainard remains hawkish; eurozone reported weak April retail sales; the ECB meets next week with an uncertain economic backdrop; Turkey reported May CPI and PPI data; Japan Prime Minister Kishida signaled steady policy ahead; incoming Australia Prime Minister Albanese is setting the table for higher wages; Korea reported May CPI

Data so far this week have helped dispel some of the U.S. recession fears; ADP private sector jobs data will be today’s data highlight; Bank of Canada hiked rates 50 bp to 1.50%, as expected; eurozone reported April PPI; the public ECB policy debate continues; Switzerland reported May CPI; Saudi Arabia is prepared to boost its oil output to make up for any sanctions-related loss from Russia

U.S. yields continue to recover; May ISM manufacturing PMI will be today’s data highlight; the Fed releases its Beige Book report for the June 14-15 FOMC meeting; BOC is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 1.50%; Banco de Mexico releases its quarterly inflation report; ECB tightening expectations are rising; Germany reported weak April retail sales data; BOJ remains ultra-dovish;

U.S. yields are recovering as inflation concerns rise; Fed officials remain hawkish; ahead of the jobs report, important survey data will be reported; eurozone May CPI data continue to worsen; the public ECB policy debate is likely to continue; Japan reported mixed data; China reported firm official May PMI readings; oil prices are rallying after the EU reached a compromise to ban most Russian crude

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. rates markets are pricing in increasing odds of a U.S. recession; April core PCE will be the U.S. data highlight; the U.S. housing sector is softening and that's what rate hikes are supposed to do; Banco de Mexico minutes were hawkish; Chancellor Sunak bowed to pressure and announced an aid package for U.K. households; Japan reported softer May Tokyo CPI data

FOMC minutes will be released; flash May PMI and Richmond Fed readings were softer than expected; Brazil mid-May IPCA inflation came in higher than expected at 12.20% y/y; Deputy Governor Heath said Banxico may need to hike another 2-3 percentage points; the U.S. has likely to pushed Russia into default; the ECB sounded some warnings in its twice-yearly Financial Stability Review; more ECB officials are lining up behind President Lagarde

U.S. yields have fallen sharply from the early May peaks; regional Fed manufacturing surveys will continue to roll out; Mexico reports mid-May CPI; Brazil reports mid-May IPCA inflation; reports suggest some ECB hawks were unhappy with President Lagarde’s forward guidance yesterday; Lagarde pushed back today; eurozone reported solid preliminary May PMI readings; U.K. reported weak preliminary May PMI readings; Russia eased key capital controls as the ruble continues to gain

Short-term rates continue to move against the dollar; we continue to believe that U.S. recession fears are overblown; ECB President Lagarde is validating recent hawkish comments from her colleagues; Israel is expected to hike rates 25 bp to 0.60%; President Biden announced the creation of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework; Biden also said he will review existing tariffs on Chinese imports;

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

We believe much of this week’s price action was driven by a short squeeze for the foreign currencies; we note more observers are getting concerned about U.S. recession risks; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for May have so far been weak; U.K. reported better than expected April retail sales; U.K. GfK consumer confidence came in weaker than expected; BOE Chief Economist Pill sounded hawkish

Fed officials remain hawkish; U.S. rates market is reflecting concerns about the economy; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for May will continue rolling out; ECB releases its account of the April meeting

Chair Powell said the Fed will continue hiking until inflation comes down; Fed tightening expectations picked up a bit; April retail sales data support our view that the U.S. economic outlook remains solid; U.S. yields are moving higher in response to the strong data and hawkish Powell comments; Canada highlight will be April CPI data; U.K. reported April CPI data

U.S. yields are edging higher as risk off sentiment ebbs; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for May will start rolling out; the EC cut its growth forecasts for the eurozone; BOE officials will take questions from the Treasury Select Committee; HKD continues to trade at the weak end of its trading band; China reported weak April IP and retail sales data; new BOK Governor Rhee said he cannot rule out a 50 bp rate move

Fed Chair Powell helped boost sentiment yesterday by downplaying risks of a 75 bp move; U.S. data calendar is light; the heavy slate of UST issuance ended on a strong note; Mexico hiked rates 50 bp to 7.0%, as expected, but hinted at larger moves ahead; reports suggest PM Minister Johnson has ordered his government to slash U.K. civil service jobs in order to offset possible tax cuts;

The Hong Kong dollar is trading at the weak end of its trading band, leading the HKMA to intervene today for the first time since early 2019. While we see no threat to the peg, ongoing weakness in the mainland China economy is likely to keep HKD weak for the foreseeable future. This in turn will put downward pressure on the Hong Kong economy.

U.S. yields are lower as risk off sentiment takes hold; April U.S. PPI data now takes center stage; Fed officials remain hawkish; the heavy slate of UST issuance concludes; both Mexico and Peru are expected to hike rates 50 bp; more ECB officials are on board with July liftoff; yet ECB tightening expectations remain subdued; U.K. monthly data dump was weaker than expected

Market expectations for Fed tightening have cooled a bit; April U.S. CPI data takes center stage; the heavy slate of UST issuance continues; Brazil reports April IPCA inflation; ECB President Lagarde all but signed off on July liftoff; Brexit is back in the headlines; CZK is underperforming due to concerns about monetary policy; sentiment during the Asian session recovered as China’s virus numbers improved

The rise in U.S. yields has stalled out; with the FOMC meeting out of the way, Fed speakers will spread the word this week; there is a heavy slate of UST issuance due to the quarterly refunding; German ZEW survey for May was mixed; BOE’s Saunders continues to push for front-loading its tightening cycle; BOJ is showing no signs of abandoning YCC; the Fed highlighted crypto risks in its most recent financial stability report

U.S. yields continue to rise; with the FOMC meeting out of the way, Fed speakers will spread the word this week; Mexico reports April CPI; ECB officials continue to sound hawkish; ECB tightening expectations have picked up modestly; one unfortunate by-product of ECB hawkishness is rising peripheral spreads

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Markets continue to reprice the Fed; U.S. yields are rising again; April jobs data will be the highlight; Canada also reports April jobs data; Chile delivered a hawkish surprise yesterday; markets are still digesting the BOE’s disastrous decision; updated macro forecasts contained the worst of all worlds; ECB officials continue to tilt hawkish;

The Fed hiked rates 50 bp, as expected; more aggressive market pricing for rate hikes suggests the initial dovish take on Powell was wrong; U.S. yields are rising again; Chile is expected to hike rates 100 bp to 8.0%; BOE hiked rates 25 bp to 1.0%, as expected; eurozone data came in weak; Norges Bank kept rates steady at 0.75%, as expected; Czech Republic is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 5.5%; Poland is expected to hike rates 100 bp to 5.5%; Caixin reported weak April China services and composite PMI readings

U.S. yields are rising again; Fed tightening expectations remain elevated; April ISM manufacturing PMI will be the highlight; ECB tightening expectations remain subdued; eurozone reported mixed data; Japan reported some minor data overnight

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. yields are edging higher as risk-off impulses ease; higher U.S. rates and periodic bouts of risk-off impulses are only part of the strong dollar narrative; March core PCE reading will be important; we believe the Q1 GDP reading was a quirk that will not impact Fed policy; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; Colombia is expected to hike rates 100 bp to 6.0%; eurozone inflation may be topping out

U.S. yields are edging higher as risk-off impulses ease; Fed tightening expectations remain robust; Germany said its companies will continue to pay for Russian gas in euros or dollars; Germany cut its 2022 growth forecast to 2.2% from 3.6% seen in January; eurozone April inflation readings have started to trickle out; ECB tightening expectations have fallen significantly; Riksbank delivered a surprise 25 bp rate hike; BOJ meeting ended with a dovish hold; updated macro forecasts suggest no tightening until FY25;

U.S. yields are edging higher as risk-off impulses ease; DXY traded today at a new cycle high near 102.777; Fed tightening expectations remain robust; President Biden’s Fed nominations are falling into place; Brazil reports mid-April IPCA inflation; Russia announced it would halt natural gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria; eurozone consumer confidence measures continue to crumble

U.S. yields are edging lower as risk-off impulses linger; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; Fed manufacturing surveys for April will continue to roll out; ECB hawks remain vocal

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

U.S. yields are rising again; Fed Chair Powell added to the hawkish Fed chorus; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; S&P Global (formerly Markit) preliminary April PMI readings will be the highlight; Canada highlight is February retail sales data; ECB President Lagarde offered a more nuanced view of the state of affairs than the hawks; U.K. reported weak March retail sales data

U.S. yields are starting to rise again; Fed Beige Book set the table for a 50 bp hike at the May 3-4 FOMC meeting; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; regional Fed manufacturing surveys for April will continue to roll out; Canada March CPI data came in hot; more ECB officials are tilting hawkish

U.S. yields have reversed lower today in what seems like a corrective phase across the rates markets; the Fed releases its Beige Book report for the upcoming May 3-4 FOMC meeting; some Fed officials are sounding a bit more cautious; Canada highlight is March CPI data; ECB hawks continue to undermine Madame Lagarde’s message; BOJ reiterated its commitment to Yield Curve Control in response to rising yields

Inflation data and a hawkish Fed are keeping upward pressure on U.S. yields; Fed officials remain hawkish; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; ECB tightening expectations continue to adjust after the meeting; recent verbal intervention has done nothing for the yen

Inflation data and a hawkish Fed are keeping upward pressure on U.S. yields; Fed tightening expectations remain relatively robust; markets are still digesting the dovish surprise from the ECB last week; ECB hawks continue to undermine Lagarde; official concern with the weak yen is intensifying

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. rates have resumed their move higher; Fed officials remain hawkish; the Fed’s pivot to limiting demand is noteworthy; retail sales data are worth discussing; despite the holiday, some U.S. data will be reported; ECB delivered a dovish surprise

March PPI data suggests price pressures are far from topping out; yet bonds continued to rally after the PPI data; Fed tightening expectations have fallen despite the inflation data; retail sales data will be important; BOC held a press conference and an FOMC meeting broke out; ECB is expected to keep policy steady but beware of a hawkish tilt

Fed officials remain hawkish; we think many are coming around to the notion that the Fed has to move into restrictive policy; March PPI will be reported; bonds rallied after the CPI data; bull steepening should continue near-term; Canada is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 1.0%; Chile central bank minutes will be released; U.K. March CPI data came in hot;

U.S. rates continue to move higher; Fed officials remain hawkish; Fed tightening expectations remain elevated; March CPI data will be reported; Brazil central bank President Roberto Campos Neto said he was surprised by recent inflation data; German April ZEW survey came in slightly better than expected

U.S. rates continue to move higher; Fed officials are likely to remain hawkish; France held its presidential election Sunday; U.K. began its monthly data dump on a soft note

Here's a look at the main drivers in Developed Markets this week.

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

Fed officials remain hawkish; U.S. yields continue moving in the dollar’s favor; Canada reports March jobs data; BOC tightening expectations are running hot; Chile reports March CPI; Brazil reports March IPCA inflation; account of the March ECB meeting tiled hawkish; ECB tightening expectations remain heightened; Russia delivered a surprise 300 bp rate cut to 17.0%.

FOMC minutes tilted hawkish, as expected; the 2- to 10-year curve is no longer inverted; Mexico reports March CPI; Peru is expected to hike rates 50 bp to 4.5%; ECB minutes will be a major highlight;

Hawkish Fed comments continue to roil the rates markets; Fed tightening expectations remain heightened; U.S. yields continue moving in the dollar’s favor; the 2- to 10-year curve is no longer inverted; FOMC minutes will be released; as we warned yesterday, default risk has risen for Russia

U.S. yields continue moving in the dollar’s favor; the U.S. 2- to 10-year curve remains inverted; March ISM services PMI is the main highlight; default risk has risen after the Treasury Department banned Russia from making any debt payments through U.S. banks

This is a very quiet week for the U.S. in terms of data; U.S. yields have resumed moving in the dollar’s favor; another portion of the U.S. yield curve has inverted; Colombia central bank minutes will be released; ECB tightening expectations remain heightened after last week’s CPI shocker

Here's a look at the main drivers in Emerging Markets this week.

U.S. rates are on the rise again; March jobs data will be the highlight; ISM manufacturin