U.S. Large Cap Equity - Core Select Quarterly Strategy Update - Q1 2026

March 31, 2026
Portfolio Manager, Scott Hill, provides an analysis of the investment environment and most recent quarter-end results of the BBH U.S. Large Cap Equity - Core Select strategy.

Highlights

  • During first quarter 2026, most portfolio companies in the Core Select strategy (the Strategy) reported fourth quarter 2025 results and provided near- and longer-term guidance.
    • As we stated in our last update, the financial results of our portfolio companies were strong. The recipe for economic value creation - returns on invested capital and free cash flow per share growth - remain very attractive and on both an absolute basis and relative to the benchmark S&P 500 Index (the Index).
    • We would characterize forward guidance by the portfolio companies in the Strategy as cautious near term and highly confident medium to longer term.
  • While we remain pleased with the year-to-date fundamental performance of the Strategy, we were disappointed with the absolute stock price-driven total returns. On a total return basis, the Strategy decreased -5.90% for the quarter and year to date. The Index decreased -4.33%.
  • While artificial intelligence (AI)-related disintermediation risks are real, the resulting negative stock price reaction to them is sometimes largely sentiment driven; the materiality of the declines is in part due to a changing market structure where nonfundamental investors are today’s price setters, controlling 65% to 75% of normal daily trading volume.
  • Strong fundamental performance continues a historical trend we have witnessed for some time, and economic value creation remains very favorable for the Strategy on an absolute basis and relative to the Index, as does relative valuation, against a backdrop of very full absolute valuation levels.
  • During the period of recent market volatility and uncertainty, we have been acting with an aim to improve an already high-quality portfolio to one possessing higher expected levels of economic profit growth and better valuation support.

Market overview

We entered calendar year 2026 with some degree of caution. The Index had just come off its third consecutive year of double-digit returns, while earnings and free cash flow per share growth were essentially flat over the multiyear period. Valuations were full and expectations for earnings growth were high, both on an absolute basis and relative to near- and longer-term history, while internal market structure was undergoing a period of dramatic change.

The bifurcation between momentum and fundamental metrics has never been more extreme. In today’s market environment, price momentum and positive revisions to sell-side analyst estimates are being rewarded, often without regard to valuation or the absolute fundamental performance of a company in respect of the drivers of true economic value creation. Performance measurement and its interpretation should be carefully contemplated given the rapidly changing market structure, and our general goal of transparency and its benefits are only heightened given the significant trade activity experienced of late and that is likely to continue in the near term as we reposition portfolios to achieve our multifaceted investment goals in the context of intense and evolving risks.

First quarter 2026 experienced a decline of 4%, with escalating geopolitical risk triggering an oil supply shock, fueling near-term inflation concerns. Energy (+38.3%) and Materials (+9.7%) were the best performing sectors, contributing ~122 basis points (bps)1 to the market’s total return. In contrast, Financials (‑9.4%) and Consumer Discretionary (‑9.2%) were the worst performers for the quarter. Energy was the only sector in the index to generate double‑digit returns, driven by significant tailwinds from the war in Iran.

Portfolio commentary

The financial results of our portfolio companies were strong, with our recipe for economic value creation – reported returns on invested capital plus implied free cash flow per share growth – attractive on both an absolute and relative basis. Compared to the extreme uncertainty that accompanies the price other market participants are willing to pay for our portfolio companies and those we choose not to own, we feel more in control of the fundamental performance and superior valuation of our portfolio companies. Net earnings and free cash flow per share grew 11% and 10%, respectively, for the Strategy over the three-year trailing period vs. 7% and -2%, respectively, for the Index over the same time period.

Exhibit I
 3 Years5 Years
 StrategyS&P 500StrategyS&P 500
Growth    
EPS (CAGR)11.4%6.5%15.5%7.8%
Free cash flow (CAGR)10.2%-2.1%14.0%4.4%
Quality    
Return on invested capital (avg)26.4%10.3%24.5%9.6%
Net debt/EBITDA (avg)0.77x1.38x0.71x1.36x

To that end, our portfolio companies have executed well and have produced solid growth and fundamental economic performance while maintaining appropriately conservative capital structures. These achievements are evident at the aggregate portfolio level, where we have observed attractive growth in revenue, cash flow, and earnings; superior profit margins; returns on capital; and healthy balance sheets. While the Strategy is more fully valued than we have historically observed given the strong equity markets we experienced over the past several years, the valuation remains supportive on an absolute basis and is attractive relative to the Index. Compared to the extreme uncertainty that accompanies the price other market participants are willing to pay and those names we choose not to own, we feel more in control of the fundamentals and valuation of our portfolio companies.

For the quarter, the Fund’s two largest detractors to total return were Microsoft (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL) respectively.

Microsoft (share price -23%) was the largest performance detractor, reducing the Strategy’s total return by ~163 bps during the quarter. The share price decline reflected growing market skepticism around the returns on AI‑related capital spending and the capital intensity required to support AI infrastructure delivery, alongside a market rotation favoring semiconductor companies over software and cloud infrastructure providers. Investor disappointment was compounded by management’s decision to prioritize internal workloads over external customer demand, which weighed on Azure growth. Management has emphasized that allocating scarce capacity toward internal workloads is intended to maximize long‑term value by leveraging Microsoft’s distribution advantages and capturing value higher in the software stack, an approach we believe supports durable strategic positioning despite near‑term share price pressure.

Oracle (share price -24%) detracted ~64 bps from the Strategy’s total return during the quarter as the company was exposed to the same skepticisms (i.e., AI infrastructure investment, market rotation away from software) as Microsoft. Investor attention also centered on Oracle’s financing mix for its AI data center expansion, which requires incremental debt and equity issuance and introduces additional financial leverage; however, we view this risk as mitigated by strong contractual commitments from customers that have subscribed to capacity coming online over the next several years. We were encouraged by management’s intention to include equity financing, which should reduce overall leverage and improve the company’s risk profile as investments scale. Oracle’s growing Remaining Performance Obligations provide attractive visibility into future revenue.

For the quarter, the Strategy’s two largest contributors to total return were Applied Materials (AMAT) and KLA Corp (KLAC) and respectively.

Applied Materials (share price +33%) was the largest contributor during the quarter, adding ~96 bps to the Strategy’s total return. Applied Materials develops, manufactures, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and spare parts for the global semiconductor industry. Share price performance during the period reflected increasing market recognition that demand for AI continues to exceed supply, with silicon availability emerging as a critical bottleneck. With market share in the high teens, Applied Materials is a direct beneficiary of incremental capital spending required to support higher production volumes at leading semiconductor manufacturers.

KLA (share price +21%) was a large contributor during the quarter, adding ~60 bps to the Strategy’s total return. KLA provides process‑control, inspection, and metrology solutions that are critical to semiconductor manufacturing, particularly as chip complexity increases in advanced logic and high‑performance computing. Share price performance reflected confidence that KLA’s leading market share in defect inspection and metrology positions it to benefit from next generation nodes, including 2‑ and 1‑nanometer technologies at leading foundries, as well as long‑term growth in advanced packaging and power semiconductors. During the period, KLA also exceeded earnings and revenue expectations and reinforced its shareholder return profile through a $7 billion share repurchase authorization and a 21% increase in its quarterly dividend.

Over any period, stock prices reflect the confluence of many factors as well as the perspectives of myriad other investors, both active and passive, that do not share our perspectives on risk, fundamental economic value creation, or how to properly measure it. Regardless of these other views, over the long term, we believe that it is a reasonable and an economically sound premise that the price of stocks should follow their growth in free cash flow per share and that attractive valuations support economic upside and mitigate risk. This will remain our focus as we seek to deliver both strong absolute and relative returns over the long term.

While this work will continue and is a constant focus of our analytical and portfolio management activities, we expect it to slow in the near term given the sharp recovery in market prices and still-elevated levels of policy-induced risk. While we remain focused on finding new investments that meet our investment criteria and are attractively valued, we do so in the context of a market environment we view as challenged, with risks evident on many fronts.

Portfolio activity

Negative stock price reactions have been driven by concerns about AI code generation tools lowering barriers to entry in software and agentic AI displacing labor and thus reducing the need for licensed application software seats. As we evaluated relative disruption risk within the software ecosystem, we took portfolio action intended to reduce AI-centric product and business model disruption and disintermediation risk. Our trading activity during the quarter balanced these risks with the significant fundamental and valuation support these stocks offer.

To that end, we were able to initiate positions in a number of high-quality companies: J.P. Morgan, Rockwell Automation, Intuitive Surgical, Palo Alto Networks, Hilton Worldwide, Broadcom, Home Depot, Parker Hannifin, and Graco.

During the quarter, we also executed several portfolio rebalancing trades reflective of relative valuation opportunities, risk, and fit with our investment criteria. Turnover during the quarter was 13.2%. While high relative to recent periods, this represents a period of market volatility and uncertainty, and where we have been acting with an aim to improving an already high-quality portfolio to one possessing higher expected levels of economic profit growth and better valuation support.

Holdings (As of March 31, 2026)
Holdings
As of March 31, 2026
HoldingSectorWeight (%)
Alphabet IncCommunication services6.8%
Apple IncInformation technology6.1%
NVIDIA CorpInformation technology6.1%
Microsoft CorpInformation technology5.8%
Amazon.com IncConsumer discretionary4.5%
Applied Materials IncInformation technology3.6%
Waste Management IncIndustrials3.4%
KLA CorpInformation technology3.3%
Berkshire Hathaway IncFinancials3.1%
Walmart IncConsumer staples2.7%
Analog Devices IncInformation technology2.6%
Progressive CorpFinancials2.5%
McDonald's CorpConsumer discretionary2.3%
Cadence Design Systems IncInformation technology2.2%
Johnson & JohnsonHealth care2.2%
Linde PLCMaterials2.2%
Oracle CorpInformation technology2.2%
Visa IncFinancials2.1%
Mastercard IncFinancials2.1%
Rockwell Automation IncIndustrials2.0%
Eli Lilly & CoHealth care2.0%
NIKE IncConsumer discretionary2.0%
Costco Wholesale CorpConsumer staples1.9%
Thermo Fisher Scientific IncHealth care1.8%
Alcon AGHealth care1.8%
Texas Instruments IncInformation technology1.7%
JPMorgan Chase & CoFinancials1.5%
Procter & Gamble CoConsumer staples1.5%
Broadcom IncInformation technology1.4%
Zoetis IncHealth care1.4%
S&P Global IncFinancials1.4%
Palo Alto Networks IncInformation technology1.3%
Abbott LaboratoriesHealth care1.3%
Arthur J Gallagher & CoFinancials1.1%
Coca-Cola CoConsumer staples1.1%
Parker-Hannifin CorpIndustrials1.0%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings IncConsumer discretionary0.9%
Blackrock IncFinancials0.9%
Booking Holdings IncConsumer discretionary0.9%
Intuitive Surgical IncHealth care0.7%
Ecolab IncMaterials0.7%
Home Depot IncConsumer discretionary0.5%
Graco IncIndustrials0.4%
Otis Worldwide CorpIndustrials0.2%
Novo Nordisk A/SHealth care0.2%
ServiceNow IncInformation technology0.1%
Cash and cash equivalents 2.6%
Holdings are subject to change.

Outlook

At the end of first quarter 2026, we held positions in 46 companies, with the 10 largest holdings accounting for 45% of total assets. We ended the quarter with a cash position of 2.6%.

In our view, momentum and high beta continue to drive market performance at the expense of growth, quality, and positive fundamental factors. After making opportunistic adjustments, we remain focused on finding new investments and rebalancing existing portfolio companies in the context of a market environment we view as challenged.

With a backdrop of decelerating economic growth, extreme policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk, and still-high market expectations relative to history, we remain focused and committed to investing in companies that meet our qualitative criteria, have the fundamental financial characteristics in place that allow for durability in times of economic and market stress, and offer valuation support.

To conclude, our portfolio companies have executed well and produced solid growth and fundamental economic performance while maintaining appropriately conservative capital structures. Given the near- and longer-term outlooks provided by the companies in the Strategy, we are optimistic that these strong trends will continue and that the differentiated financial attributes will be better recognized by other investors in the future, improving the stock price performance of the Fund relative to the Index over time.

Thank you for your interest in the BBH Large Cap Core Select equity strategy. Please reach out if you have any questions.

Performance (As of March 31, 2026)
Performance
As of March 31, 2026
Total ReturnsAverage Annual Total Returns
Composite/benchmark3 Mo.YTD1 Yr.3 Yr.5 Yr.10 Yr.Since Inception
BBH U.S. Large Cap Equity - Core Select Composite (gross of fees)-5.90%-5.90%8.80%14.38%9.50%11.17%10.44%
BBH U.S. Large Cap Equity - Core Select Composite (net of fees)-6.13%-6.13%7.73%13.26%8.43%10.07%9.36%
S&P 500 Total Return Index-4.33%-4.33%17.80%18.32%12.06%14.16%10.59%
Inception date: 10/01/2005
Returns of less than one year are not annualized.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The S&P 500 is an unmanaged weighted index of 500 stocks providing a broad indicator of stock price movements. The composition of the index is materially different than the Fund’s holdings. The index is not available for direct investment.
Sources: BBH & Co. and S&P

Formerly called U.S. Large Capital Equity Strategy.

1 One basis point is equal to 1/100th of 1%, or 0.01%.

RISKS

Investors should be able to withstand short-term fluctuations in the equity markets and fixed income markets in return for potentially higher returns over the long term. The value of portfolios changes every day and can be affected by changes in interest rates, general market conditions and other political, social and economic developments.

The Strategy and may assume large positions in a small number of issuers which can increase the potential for greater price fluctuation. International investing involves special risks including currency risk, increased volatility, political risks, and differences in auditing and other financial standards.

Gross of fee performance does not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees. Net of fees performance results reflect the deduction of the maximum investment advisory fees. Returns include all dividends and interest, other income, realized and unrealized gain, are net of all brokerage commissions and execution costs. Performance calculated in U.S. dollars.

Portfolio Characteristics are of the Representative Account. The Representative Account is managed with the same investment objectives and employs substantially the same investment philosophy and processes as the strategy.

Contribution and other performance related information are presented gross of fees. See the performance table for the effect of investment advisory fees on returns.

References to specific securities, asset classes, and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be and should not be interpreted as recommendations.

The objective of the US Large Cap Equity-Core Select Strategy is to provide investors with long-term growth of capital and generate attractive returns over full economic cycles. The Strategy invest in a portfolio of approximately 25-35 companies with market capitalizations greater than $5 billion that are headquartered in North America, as well as in certain global firms located in other developed regions. There can be no assurance the Strategy will achieve its investment objectives.

Brown Brothers Harriman Investment Management (“IM”) claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To receive additional information regarding IM, including a GIPS Composite Report for the strategy, contact John Ackler at 212-493-8247 or via email at john.ackler@bbh.com.

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