Intermediate duration bond portfolios have experienced notable declines year to date as Treasury rates rose while the Fed remains poised to raise rates. Our focus remains on valuations and fundamentals – not macro forecasting – a recipe that often resulted in credit-oriented portfolios that have been more durable in periods of rising rates.
Bond investors have experienced an historic rate shock over the last few months, while the Fed is likely to raise rates higher and sooner than expected. The good news is, if you maintain a constant maturity, your money is now reinvested at these higher rates. Combined with the likelihood that a bond's price approaches par as it nears maturity, the improved yield should more than make up the temporary loss in value over time.
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