Why European T+1 could be a new ball game

  • Investor Services
The acceleration of settlement cycles across Europe in 2027 promises to be a whole new ball game compared to the North American changeover.

You know that old saying about what happens when you assume? Well, when it comes to the impending acceleration of securities settlement cycles in Europe, you don’t want to be the one assuming it will be similar to 2024’s US move to T+1.

What is often overlooked is that while the North American transition to T+1 was a success, it followed a herculean educational and operational lift involving many players. And some fared better than others in its adoption.

Europe’s own transition is even more nuanced and the challenges may prove far from easy for those assuming it’ll be okay regardless.

We suspect the complexity of the unique and fragmented European markets is not being fully considered by some who will be impacted by the T+1 transition slated for October 11th, 2027. While a fair portion of the market is working through their project plan, the question for any reader should be: are you?

Europe’s uneven playing field

Whatever your current state of readiness, European T+1 is achievable for all and will deliver global benefits as settlement cycles become increasingly standardised across markets. The drivers of an accelerated settlement cycle in Europe are the same as the US:

  • Reduced counterparty risk
  • Increased market liquidity
  • Alignment with other T+1 settlement markets including the US
  • Greater process automation and adoption of market best practices
  • Improved capital efficiency via through reduced clearing margin requirements

However, fragmentation, regulation, and national level nuances will require further considerations within Europe that were not present in the North American project.

Complex ecosystem

The US transition was critical owing to the markets’ size and trade volumes, and much can be drawn on this for Europe’s shift, however Europe unquestionably has more multifaceted concerns than in the US.

INFRASTRUCTURE
TYPE
USEUROPE
(EEA, UK, SWITZERLAND)
Listings exchanges335
Trading exchanges1641
Central Clearing Counterparties (CCPs)118
Central Securities Depositories (CSDs)231
Local currencies114

Source: AFME/Finance for Europe: T+1 Settlement in Europe: Potential Benefits and Challenges. September 2022.

There are myriad operational considerations in Europe that don’t exist elsewhere. These include:

  • Securities held across multiple central securities depositories (CSDs)
  • Dual listed securities operating on both European and non-European exchanges
  • Misalignment of CSD batch processing cycles
  • Some markets which operate continuous settlements but with different deadlines

Not all 31 European CSDs have the same operating hours. Some allow partial settlements and others do not, some CSDs are part of the T2S, the Eurosystem’s centralised platform, and others are not. Detail of European fragmentation becomes more evident the deeper you dive into the technical aspects of European securities markets.

There are also certain securities, such as Eurobonds and exchange traded fund (ETF) shares, which might trade on numerous European and non-EU venues. These might also settle at an International Central Securities Depositary (ICSD). This activity shows how the EU, EEA, UK, and Switzerland remain highly interconnected and why harmonised settlement cycles remain important for all parties.

Regulatory complexity – CSDR

 

As always in Europe, regulation looms large, and T+1 is both complex and potentially costly for trading counterparties under Central Securities Depositary Regulation (CSDR): the regulation imposes cash penalties for failed trades. Public authorities will be watching settlement discipline rates closely as they gauge industry performance in the leadup to T+1 and after. Europe is already in consultation to make the CSDR rules more pragmatic: CSDR settlement discipline will weigh heavily on accelerated settlement.

 

The added complexity of T+1 exacerbates these issues for overall European securities market competitiveness. While the UK chose not to implement CSDR settlement discipline measures, UK authorities are considering all options as it supervises and engages with the industry. It should be remembered that requirements imposed under EU and UK CSDR apply extraterritorially, wherever trading counterparties operate.

Watching for curve balls

To get ahead of potential challenges, the ecosystem should play close attention to these factors in particular:

Leverage resources: there are useful resources both at UK and EU level that can aid all participants in their planning. As the FCA recently advised, while most market participants are working through their project plans – some have not yet familiarised themselves with the industry guidance and best practices which can be found at the accelerated settlement taskforce page and the EU T+1 industry committee page.

Settlement instruction deadlines: Settlement instructions received after custody cut-offs will still be processed. Late instructions can still settle prior to the DvP cut-off assuming it is sent in an automated manner with no exceptions. Custody cut-offs are generally a matter of hours prior to DvP and FoP settlement cut-offs on intended settlement day (ISD). For a T+1 trade, custody cut-offs will therefore typically occur well after the Task Force Recommendations to submit settlement instructions by 23:59 on trade-date in the EU and 05:59 on trade-date +1 in the UK. However, per T+1 industry recommendations, settlement instructions should be sent intraday as soon as possible and by the latest at 23:59 on trade-date in the EU and 05:59 on trade-date + 1 in the UK.

Funding: Funding requirements should be taken into account, including if currency conversions are required: CLS and custodian deadlines for FX instructions effectively will move one day forward. This could be more challenging for less liquid currencies or where fund share class and securities base currencies are different.

Corporate actions : Another specific area of ongoing industry dialogue across Europe T+1 is corporate actions processing, with the compressed timelines bringing things such as buyer protection and potential claims (based on late settlement) front of mind. A key recommendation of industry task forces is to align X-Date and Record Date across European issuers.

UCITS fund settlement cycles : These funds are distributed and traded daily across the globe. Significant UCITS fund flows come from outside Europe (Asia, LatAm, Middle East). T+2 is considered the optimal settlement cycle for globally distributed UCITS funds since the 48-hour window allows for the trade lifecycle to be completed inclusive of matching, confirmations, FX legs and NAV calculations, and investor contract notes issuance. Many UCITS retained a T+2 fund settlement cycle through the US T+1 change, but liquidity management is a key consideration as is continued compliance with the hard coded UCITS cash and borrowing restriction limits.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) : ETFs are specifically impacted by Europe T+1 owing to the fact that they already operate within a highly coordinated operating model including a lot of market participants. The acceleration of settlement cycle compresses a number of operational processes and has surfaced ETF specific considerations such as Issuance of T0 ETF shares, partial settlement, funding gaps and interest adjustments, and generally cross border coordination of counterparts which is more challenging the more globalised your portfolio and investor composition is.

European securities and investment funds: Trading tends to have longer intermediary chains than other markets. And as with US T+1, operational flow is only as strong as the weakest link in the chain.

To conclude, while European market participants prepare for T+1, they face a more uneven pitch than in the US and must work hard to ensure a successful touchdown of Europe T+1 as the acceleration of trading settlement cycles goes global.

1 Buy-ins occur when a counterparty must re-purchase a security that was not delivered by the other counterparty by the settlement date, which, due to the price volatility, could lead to higher cost

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